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| Vol 1. No 4, October 2003
Industry News |
for previous articles, visit the
Infrastructure Preservation News archives and V&A's web site at www.vaengr.com |
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Life Cycle Cost Analysis RevisitedBy Jose L. Villalobos, P.E.The hot new buzzword in the public infrastructure world these days is “Asset Management,” which is defined by one major federal agency (FHWA) as:
Frankly, to an experienced engineer, that sounds like nothing more than good, old-fashioned civil engineering. If you know ahead of time that you are going to design, build, operate, and ultimately demolish or decommission a facility, it is prudent to factor all of these issues “up front.” Only then can you answer such fundamental questions as “Will this facility provide sufficient benefit to society to justify building it?” and “Is this the best use of our limited resources?” Life Extension Happily, with the kind of infrastructure improvements possible today, the useful life of public utility assets can be greatly (and safely) extended. By applying a coating to a tank, installing cathodic protection on a pipe, or installing a liner inside an existing pipe, the initial investment will pay off by extending the design life of these facilities. But the key to extending useful life is to detect and document their condition before the cost of their repair exceeds the cost to replace the facilities. Several recent studies of pavement maintenance programs have shown a very straighforward correlation: if damage to pavement is repaired before 40 percent of the useful life of the pavement is reached, then the cost to repair it is relatively small. However, if the pavement is allowed to deteriorate beyond 60 percent, the cost to make the repairs increases very sharply. Turning to the water infrastructure, we see that in traditional management practice, many or most public utilities use a number of indicators to determine, indirectly, the existing condition of their water or sewer systems. The signs most commmonly looked for are:
The arguments against the traditional management practicewaiting until these indicators appear before taking actionis also straighforward: by definition, it entails costly (because delayed) repairs and it virtually ensures a lower quality of service to the customers. Today, however, a wide range of newer, more efficient, proactive methods are readily available to assess the condition of a pipeline. These include:
Once the condition assessment has been completed, the public utility can take a proactive approach to asset management, and utilize more cost-efffective but equally reliable alternatives to pipe and structure replacement, such as:
With these options available, it would be possible to identify areas of potential problems before failure can occur and before the facility is beyond repair. Such a practice would reduce maintenance costs and increase the level of service and reliability to the customer. Our experience indicates that a similar situation exists in the cost of repairs to public works facilities (pipelines, storm and sewer pump stations, water storage tanks, and concrete structures). If a structure has suffered some damage but is still structurally sound and in such condition that it can be repaired, then the various repair alternatives can be compared over their life cycles. Factors such as initial cost, design life of repairs, annual maintenance costs, environmental risk, feasibility of shutdown of the facility (e.g., for maintenance and repair) and allowable duration of the shutdown must be woven into the analysis. Life Cycle Cost Analysis We have found it helpful to add a new factor to this analysis: to look at existing facilities and quantitatively determine the current level of deterioration by:
Some existing structures are so incredibly well built, that even after they have become functionally obsolete, demolition may require heavy equipment and careful planning. The calculations in the following table illustrate an example of a life cycle cost analysis (of coating a tank, in this instance) which may be of assistance to some of our readers. This analysis compares two coatings with different initial costs and different estimated lives. A basic assumption of this analysis is that if the tank is not recoated it will be damaged by the environment. For illustrative purposes, the analysis period is assumed to be 20 years, with a 9-percent interest rate, with no annual operation and maintenance costs. For simplicity, the analysis also assumes that the systems can be shut down at any time.
From the analysis above it can be seen that although the initial cost for coating B is $2,775 lower than for coating A, over the 20-year analysis period coating A in fact appears to be the more cost-effective option. If you add in the considerable problems associated with managing a coating project every 10 years, a 20-year coating life is easily worthmany times overthe extra $2,775. Similarly, a cost analysis can be made for investing in a cathodic protection system on a pipeline, or in providing a new lining for an existing pipe. Although initial cost differences may sometimes be obvious, a cost analysis should be made, since many situations can be misleading. This is especially true when dealing with high-value projects or long life cycles, which are typical for public facilities. As demonstrated above, failure to perform a life cycle cost analysis may lead to poor decisions involving thousands of dollars and needless work. For this reason, a life cycle cost analysis should always be considered. Jose L. Villalobos, P.E. is the founder and president of V&A Consulting Engineers, Inc. |
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